[RDS-WHOIS2-RT] [RDS-WHOIS2-Staff] Interesting data for our work

[Erika Mann]

Thank you Lisa, this is super helpful!
Erika 

Sent from my iPhone

> On Mar 8, 2018, at 3:25 PM, Lisa Phifer <lisa at corecom.com> wrote:
> 
> All,
> 
> As support staff for the EWG, I can explain where that came from. 
> 
> The 22% growth was just an assumption made back in 1Q 2014 by an IBM team comparing costs for two next-gen RDS models then under consideration by the EWG.
> 
> O'Connor included his own 2018 data later in the article Erika cited:
> https://www.haven2.com/index.php/archives/are-projections-of-registration-growth-in-generic-top-level-domains-realistic 
> 
> And while I'm at it, you can find ICANN's new gTLD program stats here:
> https://newgtlds.icann.org/en/program-status/statistics
> 
> Regards,
> Lisa
> 
> At 09:23 AM 3/8/2018, Erika Mann wrote:
>> I will look into this Alan. If my memory is correct then these estimates came from ICANN - but I can be wrong.
>> 
>> Erika 
>> 
>> Sent from my iPhone
>> 
>>> On Mar 8, 2018, at 10:49 AM, Alan Greenberg <alan.greenberg at mcgill.ca > wrote:
>>> 
>>> Clearly what I would refer to as "Dreaming in Technicolor". But it is not clear to me from these documents whose estimates these were.
>>> 
>>> Alan
>>> 
>>> At 08/03/2018 10:07 AM, Erika Mann wrote:
>>> 
>>>> Interesting observations from Mike O'Connor. Looking back to the beginning of the last round of new TLDs and looking at today's data. 
>>>> 
>>>> "Here̢۪s the reference that caught my eye:
>>>> 
>>>> > You can find this on page 150 of the newly-released Whois study — doone by the Expert Woorking Group on gTLD Directory Services.  Here’s the link to the study — https://www.icann.org/en/system/files/files/final-report-06jun14-en.pdf 
>>>> 
>>>> The thing that struck me was that whopping 22% annual growth rate.  Partly this is due to some pretty optimistic assumptions about the growth in the number of new gTLDs (I’m willing to bet any mo money that the beginning of 2015 will not see 200,000 gTLD domains in the root).  But leaving that aside, 22% year over year growth isn’™t something we’ve seen since pre-bubble glory days."
>>>> 
>>>> > https://www.haven2.com/index.php/archives/are-projections-of-registration-growth-in-generic-top-level-domains-realistic 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> Sent from my iPhone
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>>>> 
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