[UA-discuss] Just how big is this UA community outreach challenge? 18.5 Million people.

Wed Jan 13 18:25:06 UTC 2016

Don,

A truly impressive report!

Tony

On Tue, Jan 12, 2016 at 7:07 PM, Don Hollander <don.hollander at icann.org>
wrote:

>
> http://www.infoq.com/news/2014/01/IDC-software-developers
>
> IDC Study: How Many Software Developers Are Out There?
>
> IDC <http://www.idc.com/> has published the “2014 Worldwide Software
> Developer and ICT-Skilled Worker Estimates
> <http://www.idc.com/getdoc.jsp?containerId=244709>” document, a study
> estimating the number of professional software developers, hobbyist
> developers and Information and Communications Technology (ICT)-skilled
> workers in the world at the start of 2014. The 90 countries covered in the
> study represent 97% of the world’s GDP.
>
> According to Al Hilwa
> <http://www.idc.com/getdoc.jsp?containerId=PRF003108>, Research Director
> at IDC and author of the above mentioned study, there are an estimated “29
> million ICT-skilled workers in the world as we enter 2014, including 11
> million professional developers.” Besides those, there are estimated to be
> another 7.5M hobbyist software developers around the globe, the actual
> numbers being depicted in the table below:
>
> [image: image]
> <http://cdn.infoq.com/statics_s1_20160105-0313u5/resource/news/2014/01/IDC-software-developers/en/resources/IDC%202014%20ITC%20estimates-2.png>
>
> The number of professional software developers by major economic regions
> is shown in the following chart:
>
> [image: image]
> <http://cdn.infoq.com/statics_s1_20160105-0313u5/resource/news/2014/01/IDC-software-developers/en/resources/IDC-pro-devs-region.png>
>
> When it comes to countries, United States has the most software developers
> (professional + hobbyist) – 19.2%, followed by China with 10.1% and India
> with 9.8%. The document includes detailed statistics for all the countries
> covered by this study.
>
> Definitions used, according to the IDC study:
>
> *Professional software developers* are persons engaged in gainful
> employment where the primary activity is the construction of software or
> the direct supervision of such activity.
>
> Pro developers include the following workers, based on the U.S. Bureau of
> Labor Statistics’ classification:
>
>    - Develop, create, and modify general computer applications software
>    or specialized utility programs.
>    - Analyze user needs and develop software solutions.
>    - Design software or customize software for client use with the aim of
>    optimizing operational efficiency.
>    - May analyze and design databases within an application area, working
>    individually or coordinating database development as part of a team.
>    - May supervise computer programmers.
>
> Hobbyists are a new category of persons involved with software and tracked
> by IDC in their studies. According to this document,
>
> *Hobbyist software developers *range from persons engaged in software
> development to a much more limited degree so that it cannot be fairly
> classified as their primary occupation, even if they have formal
> occupations in the labor force. Hobbyist developers may also be students,
> who form a large chunk of this population. Hobbyist developers may also be
> unemployed or otherwise outside a country's labor force.
>
> The ICT-skilled workers include the professional developers, a small
> number of hobbyist and ICT operations and management-skilled workers, the
> study defining the later as:
>
> Simplistically, everyone in the classic ICT occupation classifications and
> the expanded STEM classifications, who is involved in ICT but is not deemed
> a professional software developer as described above, was counted as an *ICT
> operations and management skilled worker*. The primary occupations
> contributing to this number are systems, database, and network managers.
>
> The relationship between professional software developers, hobbyist and
> ICT workers is shown in the next graphic:
>
> [image: IDC-overlap]
> <http://cdn.infoq.com/statics_s1_20160105-0313u5/resource/news/2014/01/IDC-software-developers/en/resources/IDC-overlap.png>
>
> Regarding the methodology used to estimate the number of ITC-skilled
> workers worldwide, IDC has relied on workforce statistical data (Eurostat,
> , ILO, country statistical organizations such as the US Department of
> Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, etc.) provided by 54 of the countries
> studied. For other countries, IDC used the analysis of “secondary and
> tertiary education enrollment and for tertiary education graduations in
> STEM <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/STEM_fields>-related fields available
> from the OECD.” For a small fraction of the countries for which there was
> no direct statistical data available, IDC relied on “macroeconomic data on
> labor force population sizes, GDP, education levels, human development
> indices, and IDC software spend data sets such as available from IDC's
> Software Tracker.”
>
> To answer the question in the title, currently there are an estimated
> 11,005,000 professional software developers, with 554,483 (5.3%) more than
> in 2011, and some 7.5M additional hobbyist, a community which has not been
> estimated by IDC before.
>
>
>
>
>
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