[CPWG] Some relevant stats on .ORG

[Nat Cohen]

In the name of pursuing its "stability and security" mission, ICANN has
destabilized the .org name space.  The prospect has now been raised of a
"refugee crisis" in which displaced nonprofits uproot themselves in search
of a safe haven, with Evan proposing one version.  If the nonprofits have
to leave their .org domain names behind, that then creates a security
crisis in which bad actors could take over and mispurpose the abandoned
.org domain names.



On Thu, Dec 5, 2019 at 4:37 PM John McCormac <jmcc at hosterstats.com> wrote:

> On 05/12/2019 19:29, Nat Cohen wrote:
> > John,
> >
> > Thanks for the stats.  I expect that as you mention that the
> > registration momentum will continue with ccTLDs rather than with gTLDs.
> >
>
> The gTLD to ccTLD shift is a subtle one, Nat,
> Basically what happens is that people in the ccTLD's country begin to
> think of the ccTLD as "their" TLD. That's a very powerful dynamic and
> there is an element of that with .ORG. What also happens with ccTLDs is
> that the number of one-off domain names rises. These are domain names
> that only exist in that ccTLD and not in the gTLDs.
>
> > Many of the national ccTLD domain authorities are effective managers.
> > They treat registries as service providers rather than as owners of the
> > name spaces.  They don't grant perpetual contracts on the rationale that
> > registry service providers won't be willing to invest in operating a
> > registry unless they are given a perpetual right to do so.  Instead,
> > like PIR itself, they put out registry operations for regular rebid.
> > This way the cost to operate a registry falls, and those savings can be
> > passed down to end-users.
>
> Some of them are excellent operations and completely in tune with their
> registrants. They also build up a massive amount of institutional
> knowledge. The other aspect of ccTLDs, the non-repurposed ones, is that
> they are controlled by legislation and by the local government rather
> than ICANN. There were some cases where ccTLDs have been redelegated but
> the healthy ones tend to have a lot of these aspects in common.
>
> > They create stable pricing environments where companies and nonprofits
> > can develop an online brand knowing that they won't face inflated,
> > unpredictable charges when it comes time to renew their domain names in
> > the future.  In short, they look out for the public interest.
>
> Agreed.  Price sensitivity is not a major factor with some ccTLDs in
> that there are ccTLDs where the registrants will pay a higher than .COM
> registration fee without question. This is because people in the country
> expect that a new website will have a domain name in the ccTLD rather
> than another TLD.
>
> What I've seen with some countries and the non-COM legacy gTLDs is that
> where registrars or the registry increases prices, brand protection
> registrations and other registrations drop because the gTLD is no longer
> considered relevant to the businesses or the registrant. At a country
> level, it is hitting .BIZ and .INFO hard. The impact of price increases
> can take about a year from the increase to play out on the TLDs. What
> will happen if .ORG starts to encounter problems is that the .ORG will
> be dropped from the registrar websites and the number of active
> registrars with new registrations in the zone will decrease.
>
> Regards...jmcc
> --
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