[gnso-rds-pdp-wg] For WG Review - Redlined Problem Statement

Stephanie Perrin stephanie.perrin at mail.utoronto.ca
Wed Aug 24 22:38:03 UTC 2016


I too would like to heed Chuck's advice, but have a burning question:  
Do registries have any way of distinguishing between bots and people, in 
their citing of stats?  If so, how?  Could some kind of authentication 
protocol do this?

thanks

Stephanie


On 2016-08-24 17:42, Ayden Férdeline wrote:
> I’m going to heed Chuck’s advice, but just to respond briefly to your 
> message, Elaine, the number of queries you cited does not necessarily 
> translate into human beings performing these searches. So to your 
> comment that, “clearly people aware of whois are using it” – sure, but 
> what is not clear to me from the figures you have extracted is how 
> many unique individuals we talking about.
>
> - Ayden
>
>
>> -------- Original Message --------
>> Subject: Re: [gnso-rds-pdp-wg] For WG Review - Redlined Problem Statement
>> Local Time: August 24, 2016 10:28 PM
>> UTC Time: August 24, 2016 9:28 PM
>> From: elaine at donuts.email
>> To:
>> gnso-rds-pdp-wg at icann.org
>>
>> I love statistics.
>> Registries must self report whois look up data. 
>> https://www.icann.org/resources/pages/registry-reports
>> For example, in .com April 2016 ALONE
>> “Whois” Queries* In Millions* 15,000.3
>> Web-based Whois  6,960,159
>>
>> Clearly people aware of whois are using it.
>>
>> On Tue, Aug 23, 2016 at 10:57 PM, Greg Shatan 
>> <gregshatanipc at gmail.com <mailto:gregshatanipc at gmail.com>> wrote:
>>
>>     I've taken a deeper look at this 5% (or 8%) "awareness" number
>>     that is being bandied about.
>>
>>     This is a misuse of the data.  The question did not ask about
>>     awareness of WHOIS.  The answer cannot be cited to demonstrate
>>     awareness of WHOIS; to do so is misleading.  The more I look at
>>     the data, the less appropriate it is to cite as if it answers
>>     this question.  As Mark Twain once said, "There are three kinds
>>     of lies.  Lies, damned lies, and statistics."
>>
>>     *My primary conclusion after looking at the data is that it is
>>     useless to prove anything about "awareness of WHOIS." *
>>
>>     My secondary conclusion is that, even if one were to attempt
>>     extract some understanding of _use_ of WHOIS (not even awareness,
>>     which is impossible), relying solely on the WHOIS subset is
>>     inappropriate and likely a significant underestimation of those
>>     who used WHOIS.
>>
>>     First, this is a follow-up question to a users who had "tried to
>>     identify who created a particular website" (not "who owns a
>>     particular domain name," which would more likely lead to the use
>>     of WHOIS, since "who created a particular website" may have
>>     nothing to do with the question of domain ownership.
>>
>>     Those who had tried were asked "What did you use to figure this
>>     out?" (i.e., figure out who "created a particular website"). 
>>     It's unclear but possible thaqt only a single answer was allowed,
>>     even if the user used multiple tools.  The fact that 5% or 8%
>>     chose to list their use of WHOIS to see who "created a particular
>>     website" (not "who owned a particular domain name") proves
>>     nothing about _awareness_ of WHOIS among those who used other tools.
>>
>>     Notably, WHOIS as an answer is grouped with other "Specific Site
>>     Search" answers - the rest being Google, Baidu, GoDaddy, DNS
>>     records and "other specific site search mentions."  (The fact
>>     that "WHOIS" is listed as a "specific site search" is enough to
>>     make one question the validity of the analysis.)
>>
>>     Of those who tried to figure who created a particular site, the
>>     greatest number turned to search engines -- not surprising among
>>     general users, as search is often the primary tool used to find
>>     out _anything _ on the Internet.  That does not in any way
>>     demonstrate their lack of awareness of WHOIS.
>>
>>     Also, the WHOIS answer likely undercounts those who actually used
>>     WHOIS.  There are other answers that may also refer to WHOIS,
>>     some with answers nearly as high as those who expressly
>>     identified WHOIS as the "specific site" they searched:
>>
>>     Domain/IP Address search (5% in 2015, 5% in 2016)
>>     Online/Internet tools (Unspecified) (0%, 1%)
>>     Using specific sites that classify/provide information on sites
>>     (5%, 2%)
>>     Check registration/if it’s registered/certificate (2%, 2%)
>>     Research (Unspecified) (4%, 1%)
>>     GoDaddy (0%, less than 1%)
>>     TOTAL 16%, 11%
>>
>>     It's impossible to know how many of these refer to WHOIS, but
>>     even a minority would double the percentage in each year.
>>
>>     Finally, it's worth noting that the number who answered the same
>>     question with the answer "Google" were 10% in 2015 and 14% in
>>     2016.  It would be ludicrous to say that this indicates 10%
>>     "awareness" of Google in 2015 and 14% "awareness" of Google in
>>     2016.  Yet people somehow people feel comfortable applying this
>>     characterization to the WHOIS answer.  I think this is a strong
>>     indication that Mark Twain was right.
>>
>>     On Wed, Aug 24, 2016 at 12:55 AM, Winterfeldt, Brian J.
>>     <BWinterfeldt at mayerbrown.com
>>     <mailto:BWinterfeldt at mayerbrown.com>> wrote:
>>
>>         +1 Susan also.
>>
>>
>>         *Brian J. Winterfeldt*
>>
>>         Co-Head of Global Brand Management and Internet Practice
>>
>>         Mayer Brown LLP
>>
>>         bwinterfeldt at mayerbrown.com <mailto:bwinterfeldt at mayerbrown.com>
>>
>>         1999 K Street, NW
>>
>>         Washington, DC  20006-1101
>>
>>         202.263.3284 <tel:202.263.3284> direct dial
>>
>>         202.830.0330 <tel:202.830.0330> fax
>>
>>
>>         1221 Avenue of the Americas
>>
>>         New York, New York  10020-1001
>>
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>>
>>
>>         On Aug 23, 2016, at 12:37 PM, Kiran Malancharuvil via
>>         gnso-rds-pdp-wg <gnso-rds-pdp-wg at icann.org
>>         <mailto:gnso-rds-pdp-wg at icann.org>> wrote:
>>
>>>         +1 Susan.
>>>
>>>
>>>         Kiran Malancharuvil
>>>         Policy Counselor
>>>         MarkMonitor
>>>         415.222.8318 <tel:415.222.8318> (t)
>>>         415.419.9138 <tel:415.419.9138> (m)
>>>         www.markmonitor.com <http://www.markmonitor.com>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>         -----Original Message-----
>>>         From: gnso-rds-pdp-wg-bounces at icann.org
>>>         <mailto:gnso-rds-pdp-wg-bounces at icann.org>
>>>         [mailto:gnso-rds-pdp-wg-bounces at icann.org
>>>         <mailto:gnso-rds-pdp-wg-bounces at icann.org>] On Behalf Of
>>>         Susan Kawaguchi
>>>         Sent: Tuesday, August 23, 2016 9:35 AM
>>>         To: Volker Greimann; gnso-rds-pdp-wg at icann.org
>>>         <mailto:gnso-rds-pdp-wg at icann.org>
>>>         Subject: Re: [gnso-rds-pdp-wg] For WG Review - Redlined
>>>         Problem Statement
>>>
>>>         Volker,
>>>
>>>         I completely disagree with your statement most registrants
>>>         do not even what whois isŠ.  I might agree with most
>>>         internet users do not know what registration data is or
>>>         where to find it but a good portion of domain names are
>>>         registered to commercial entities who completely understand
>>>         the whois and use it daily for domain name management.
>>>
>>>         I am sure you receive inquiries about whois from some
>>>         registrants but I would guess the vast majority of
>>>         registrants understand whois.
>>>         Susan Kawaguchi
>>>         Domain Name Manager
>>>         Facebook Legal Dept.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>         On 8/23/16, 9:27 AM, "gnso-rds-pdp-wg-bounces at icann.org
>>>         <mailto:gnso-rds-pdp-wg-bounces at icann.org> on behalf of
>>>         Volker Greimann" <gnso-rds-pdp-wg-bounces at icann.org
>>>         <mailto:gnso-rds-pdp-wg-bounces at icann.org> on behalf of
>>>         vgreimann at key-systems.net
>>>         <mailto:vgreimann at key-systems.net>> wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>>         I tend to agree. Most registrants do not even know what
>>>>         whois is...
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>         Volker
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>         Am 23.08.2016 um 18:17 schrieb Rob Golding:
>>>>>>         Are you suggesting that registrants do not have a vested
>>>>>>         interest in
>>>>>>         an
>>>>>         RDS
>>>>>>         system?
>>>>>         Correct - I believe they have a vested interest in there
>>>>>         not being an
>>>>>         RDS  system
>>>>>
>>>>>         Rob
>>>>>
>>>>>
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>>>>
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